Investing

Articles and Information about Investing

NetFinancial | Institutions | Loans
Colleges and Universities | Search Engines

Stocks: Reduce Risk Yet Maximize Profits


It is important to note that every smart investor wants to minimize risk while maximizing profit potential. Yet conventional investment theory tells us that in order to increase returns, you have to increase risk.

You may be surprised to find that this conventional wisdom is not always true.

When I was a professional stock trader, I made most of my profits from appreciation in my portfolio, not in short term trading. In other words, I was a position trader. Any losses in my stock positions were taken out of my paycheck at the end of the month - in fact, I had to pay back any loss. If you are in this position, you desperately want to learn all the techniques to make large profits without risking much. I became an expert out of necessity. So while my trading account had virtually no losing months, my gains were as much as 300% per year.

In my stock picking, I first looked for stocks that were so cheap they could not go down. If they did go down, I was happy to buy more because at those prices, you could buy the whole company and sell off the assets for a profit.

From this group of "safe" stocks, you select the ones most likely to have large appreciation.

A stock is cheap in my book if it sells below the liquidation value of its assets, and most cheap if it sells anywhere near the net amount of cash it has on hand. So the first two measures of value I looked for were book value per share and cash per share.

Book value is the value of the shareholders equity carried on the books of the company. Generally, since you are buying a share of stock, you will want to know the book value per share.

The one caveat to looking at book value is that companies often have intangible assets on the books, goodwill and the like. You have to take these intangible assets with a grain of salt. The safest thing is to look for "tangible book value."

Book value per share is often calculated for you in the various Internet financial stock search programs available.

The next indicator to look for is cash per share or working capital per share. Working capital is current assets minus current liabilities. These assets are near to cash or will generally be turned over in one year: receivables, inventory and the like.

To measure the health of working capital, divide current assets by current liabilities to get the "current ratio." A current ratio of two to one or better usually indicates a solid company. As long as the company does not have any long term debt, or at least none coming due in the near future, the company is solvent and should be around for a while - little or no bankruptcy risk.

Next, we look for low price-earnings (P/E) ratios. In my opinion, buying high P/E stocks to chase growth companies is inviting real risk. If the company disappoints in earnings, not only will the stock drop from lower earnings, the P/E ratio will deflate as well, giving you a double hit.

OK, so you have found a company that is selling at or below book value with a current ratio better than 2:1, and a low, low P/E. It may be that the stock will not go down, but will that stock go up?

Picking growing industries and growth companies is more than I can tell you here, but there are two simple things you can look for first: (1) Is the company buying its own stock, or has it bought its own stock at about this price, and (2) are the insiders making hefty purchases of their stock?

Next, you can look at the ratio of revenues or sales to market values or the dollar amount of sales per share. Generally speaking, the company with a relatively high amount of sales per market value or sales will have more action on the upside. That company has more revenues to make profits from.

After you have narrowed the field using the above techniques, there will be no substitute for intense homework about company prospects to find which of those cheap stocks that truly give you superior returns, what I call my "Home Run Stocks."

About The Author

John Lux is a former OTC Trader and author of the book, "How to Find a Home Run Stock." To read the book and find your own Home Run Stocks, click http://www.asklux.com/investing-books/home-run-stock.htm. Email John at john@asklux.com


MORE RESOURCES:

Investing in stocks: Is it time to get back into the market?
Independent, UK - 5 hours ago
James Smith, the chief investment officer of specialist funds at Resolution Asset Management, believes that equities are up to 30 per cent undervalued in ...


Investing in the next generation
Scotsman, United Kingdom - 5 hours ago
For the eldest child he uses the Witan Jump savings plan, based on Witan's multi-manager investment trust. For the others he invests in child savings plans ...
Giving your child a financial jump-start Scotsman
all 5 news articles


Saturday Interview Investing in Longevity and Security
New York Times, United States - 2 hours ago
By MICKEY MEECE ON Monday, Theodore A. Mathas left his old office at one end of the 13th floor of the New York Life Building to move into the corner office ...


Exchange traded funds change investing
Vancouver Sun,  Canada - 20 hours ago
Mawer's World Investment fund has been named Canada's top international fund four of the past six years, and fund manager Gerald Cooper-Key was named 2007 ...


Investing for Retirement - Cramer's Mad Money (7/3/08)
Seeking Alpha, NY - 18 hours ago
While many people who are investing for retirement tend to be risk averse, Cramer thinks one can go out on a limb once in a while; he reminded viewers it ...


The 10 Commandments Of Muni-Bond Investing
Forbes, NY - Jul 3, 2008
Simply read and follow the new 10 Commandments of Municipal Bond Investing and thou shalt have the where-with-all to survive the credit crisis. ...


Servcorp investing RM96mil in i-City project
Malaysia Star, Malaysia - Jul 3, 2008
By FINTAN NG SYDNEY: Australia’s Servcorp Ltd, the world’s second largest serviced office operator, is investing US$30mil over five years into ...


Consider investing in local invention
Galesburg Register-Mail, IL - 7 hours ago
Forrest City, Iowa, got behind the Winnebago Motor Home Factory by investing money in it. Mr. Hunt’s plan when put into operation could have far reaching ...


BBC News

The Five Secrets to Succeed at Bear Market Investing
Money Morning - Jul 2, 2008
But here’s the ultimate irony: Bear-market investing offers a direct pathway to the biggest profit opportunities most investors will ever see. ...
Investing Strategies for Today's Bear Market Smartmoney.com
Future secure for cap-weighted indices Global Pensions
Its Black Everywhere istockAnalyst.com
Washington Post - Globe and Mail
all 272 news articles


New Market Timing Subscription Service Launched for Individuals ...
PR Web (press release), WA - 11 hours ago
"While matching market performance using unleveraged funds in bull markets seems dull, developing an active investing system that adjusts to protect ...

Investing - Google News

Currency Trading | Investing | Leadership | Negoatiation | Real Estate | Stocks and Mutual Funds | Taxes
home | NetFinancial | Institutions | Loans | Colleges and Universities | site map
Search Engines | EZmatic | 0pops | GetSonic | TrafficFish | Health
© 2006